<正>Social Sciences in China is a peer-reviewed quarterly academic journal published since 1980 by the Social Science in China Press on behalf of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences.It is the foremost English journal focusing on recent important developments across the breadth of social sciences and humanities in China.Social Sciences in China
2016年05期 v.11 2页 [查看摘要][在线阅读][下载 537K] - 蔡昉;
This paper creates an analytical framework for ongoing China's economic slowdown and reveals the major factors affecting potential growth rate. First, proceeding from the factors that led to a decline in China's potential growth rate, this paper demonstrates that the slowdown since 2012 is not caused by demand-side shocks but is a natural result of the demographic transition and the change of economic development stage that stemmed from supply-side factors. It is therefore suggested that the demandside perspective for cyclical analysis must be abandoned and the supply-side perspective for growth analysis ought to be followed. Secondly, this paper argues that it is theoretically unfounded and empirically unconvincing for existing literature based on the growth perspective to simply apply the statistical pattern of "regression towards the mean" to forecast China's growth outlook and thus arrive at pessimistic conclusions. On this basis, this paper identifies a host of initiatives that can significantly increase potential growth rates and proposes policy recommendations for deriving reform dividends from supply-side structural reform.
2016年05期 v.11 4-15页 [查看摘要][在线阅读][下载 4612K] - 贾康;苏京春;
After the 2008 financial crisis, reality prompts people to reflect on the traditional theoretical frameworks of economics and the practical experiences based on macro-control and "demand management." The new reality also stimulates innovative efforts to "connect theory with practice" and leads academia and decision-makers to pay unprecedented attention to "supply management" regulation and structural supply-side reforms. Based on the theoretical innovation of the "new supply-side economics," this paper systematically discusses China's supply-side reform and its related issues from four levels—the innovation of closely connecting theory with practice, the problem-oriented innovation of re-making the momentum system under the new normal, the innovation for overall and long-term goals based on comprehensive planning and systematic engineering, and the innovation of institutional supply centered on reforms and modernization.
2016年05期 v.11 16-27页 [查看摘要][在线阅读][下载 4612K] - 谢贞发;张玮;
In order to test whether the major empirical results on the "relationship between fiscal decentralization and economic growth in China" are affected by study characteristics, this paper conducts a meta-analysis of the major existing empirical literature. Our analysis indicates that some empirical results on how China's fiscal decentralization affects economic growth are subject to different study characteristics. In particular, empirical results that fiscal decentralization has "significant positive effect" on economic growth are subject to such study characteristics as "region, labor and capital growth rate, other reforms and intra-budget capital." Through the funnel plot asymmetry test, the problem of publication bias is found to exist in the sampled literature and is concentrated in spending decentralization.
2016年05期 v.11 28-42页 [查看摘要][在线阅读][下载 4612K] <正>Chinese Social Science Digest(CSSD),started in 2000,is a Chinese journal published by Social Sciences in China Press under the administration of Chinese Academy of Social Sciences.The journal publishes a significant number of high quality research articles excerpted from a variety of humanities and social sciences journals.Its
2016年05期 v.11 43页 [查看摘要][在线阅读][下载 634K] - 刘瑞明;赵仁杰;
National high-tech industrial development zones represent a major strategy of the Chinese government in developing high-tech industries and spurring regional economic growth. The effect of this policy is yet to be proven. Based on the panel data of 283 Chinese cities between 1984 and 2012, this paper investigates the effect of high-tech zones on regional economic development. Empirical results suggest that first, national hightech zones have remarkably enhanced regional GDP and per capita GDP growth, and this conclusion still holds true after multiple rounds of robustness test; second, the economic effect of national high-tech zones is subject to diminishing marginal return and compared with higher-tier cities, lower-tier cities benefited more from the creation of national hightech zones. This paper concludes that national high-tech zones where special policies are experimented and offered not only drive economic development but, if properly distributed across regions, may help reduce regional economic disparities as well. The results of this study provide important implications for the future distribution of national high-tech zones and the creation of other relevant policies.
2016年05期 v.11 44-56页 [查看摘要][在线阅读][下载 4612K] <正>ISSN 2095-4816,CN 10-1049/C Economic and Political Studies(EPS)is a peer-reviewed biannual journal published in both print and electronic versions by Renmin University of China.The EPS seeks to promote the research of political economy by addressing issues explicitly or implicitly related to
2016年05期 v.11 57页 [查看摘要][在线阅读][下载 534K] - 谢莉娟;王诗桪;
That SOEs are inefficient is still a consensus in most economic literature. However, in recent studies, more and more arguments are made in favor of the efficiency of SOEs, yet existing empirical studies are mostly based on production industry data as samples. On the basis of adopting distribution samples and conducting a cross-sector comparison between the production industry and the distribution sector, this paper offers a multi-perspective empirical assessment on the efficiency of SOEs. Through the analysis of major financial indicators and adopting the Data Envelopment Analysis-Malmquist index for total factor productivity comparison, we find that SOEs generally do not have any disadvantage in efficiency and their superior efficiency is particularly pronounced in the distribution sector as compared with production industry. Moreover, the high share and high efficiency of state capital in the wholesale sector needs particular attention. This paper employs case studies to reveal the positive correlation between the assets-heavy operation of state-owned wholesale firms and their profitability. The implications are as follows: policymakers must deliberate prudently before deciding to withdraw or increase state capital in various sectors; in the wholesale sector where state capital is more efficient, the functions of state capital can be bolstered by increasing its presence in the sector; the notion that state capital must be withdrawn from competitive sectors cannot be adopted likely, nor should the benefits of asset-light operation be exaggerated.
2016年05期 v.11 58-70页 [查看摘要][在线阅读][下载 4612K] - 于立;徐志伟;徐洪海;
China's high-speed railway industry achieved dazzling development over the years, but not much research has been devoted to this industry from the perspective of competition policy. This paper focuses on the industrial organization of China's high-speed railway industry and the applicability of the Anti-Monopoly Law. We intend to answer the following questions:(1) Why is the high-speed railway industry not an industry of natural monopoly? Which segments of the industry have elements of natural monopoly?(2) At the level of corporate organization, what is the legal and economic rationale behind the patterns of China's high-speed railway undertakings evolving from government-affiliated enterprises to special legal person enterprises and then shareholding companies?(3) The applicability of the Anti-Monopoly Law to the high-speed railway industry. Our conclusions from the perspective of competition policy are worth referencing for similar industries such as electric power, telecommunications, and water and gas supply.
2016年05期 v.11 72-82页 [查看摘要][在线阅读][下载 4612K] - 叶林祥;李实;杨灿;
It is generally believed in existing literature that China's minimum wage is too low and must be raised substantially. Such a view is highly misleading given the inconsistent statistical standards for minimum and average wages. In order to ensure comparability, this paper has adjusted the statistical scope for minimum and average wages respectively. If employees of urban private and self-employed businesses are included in calculating the average wage, the minimum-to-average wage ratio will increase by about 0.06; if the minimum wage standards of various localities include personal contributions to social insurance and the housing fund, the minimum-to-average wage ratio will increase by 0.008; if overtime pay is deducted from the average wage, the minimum-to-average wage ratio will further increase by around 0.06.In addition, if the median wage is used in place of the average wage, the minimum-to-average wage ratio will increase by at least 0.08. After these adjustments, China's minimum-to-average wage ratio for 2013 will increase from 0.28 to 0.49, which is within the range of between 0.40 and 0.60 that is recognized internationally as reasonable. Our analysis suggests that as far as the immediate interests of workers are concerned, it is more imperative to unify the statistical approaches for minimum and average wages in China than to raise the minimum wage standard. In order to achieve the expected effect, simply raising the minimum wage alone is not enough. What is also necessary is to enhance supervision and inspection on compliance by firms with the minimum wage policy, particularly the overtime pay regulations. An alternative is to replace monthly minimum wage with hourly minimum wage.
2016年05期 v.11 84-96页 [查看摘要][在线阅读][下载 4612K] <正>Internet finance got great development in China in 2015,with growing scale,product innovation,and growing areas and influence as well.Not only traditional financial enterprises enlarged the application of Internet tools,the Internet enterprises,manufacturing enterprises and even firms providing technical services for financial enterprises have also joined the
2016年05期 v.11 97页 [查看摘要][在线阅读][下载 580K] - 魏浩;
This paper creates a new analytical framework for analyzing the international trade structure, estimates the changes in China's import structure, and conducts a comparative analysis with 18 countries. This paper's findings are as follows:(1) Between 2000 and 2014, China's import structure underwent fundamental changes, with a significant rise in the share of non-agricultural primary commodities and high-tech products in China's total imports. The overall technology level in China's imports decreased at first before keeping on the rise since 2007.(2) High-tech products always represent the highest share of around 20% in the world import market. However, the share of high-tech products in China's imports did not meet the world average level until 2012.(3) Developing countries account for less than 25% of China's imports except for agricultural primary commodities. Developed countries have always accounted for more than 50% of China's total imports of medium-high-tech, high-tech and ultra-high-tech products.
2016年05期 v.11 98-110页 [查看摘要][在线阅读][下载 4612K] - 张杰;杨连星;新夫;
Whether rapid real estate investment growth inhibits China's innovation is a critical question for China's economic sustainability. Based on China's provincial panel data and using land supply as an instrumental variable for real estate investment growth, we arrived at the following findings after effectively controlling endogenous factors that could lead to estimation errors. First of all, the faster real estate investment grows in a province, the lower the growth rates of innovation and R&D spending and invention patent authorizations will be in the province, an indication that real estate directly inhibits innovation in China. Such inhibition is particularly pronounced in the industrial sectors. Secondly, in the context of rampant real estate investment, the biased loan maturity structure of China's financial system in favor of the real estate industry further inhibits innovation. This paper has verified the existence of the direct effect of real estate investment growth on regional innovation and its indirect effect on regional innovation through the biased long maturity structure of the financial system. The empirical findings of this paper provide practical policy implications for China to strike a balance between real estate development and an innovation-driven development strategy.
2016年05期 v.11 111-123页 [查看摘要][在线阅读][下载 4612K] -
<正>《中国经济学人》创刊于2006年3月,由中国社会科学院主管,向世界介绍中国经济学和管理学的最新学术进展,发表关于中国经济的原创性学术论文和研究报告。《中国经济学人》已经加入美国经济学会EconLit,EBSCO以及ProQuest学术期刊数据库。
2016年05期 v.11 124-125页 [查看摘要][在线阅读][下载 753K] <正>~~
2016年05期 v.11 126页 [查看摘要][在线阅读][下载 4611K] -
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2016年05期 v.11 127页 [查看摘要][在线阅读][下载 194K] <正>《中国工业经济》,原名《中国工业经济学报》,1984年由著名经济学家蒋一苇创办。现为中国社会科学院主管、中国社会科学院工业经济研究所主办,是全国产业经济、企业管理领域的权威学术期刊。本刊大16开本,160页整,整个设计简洁、大气、厚重。创刊以来,《中国工业经济》本着"理论顶天,实践立地"的理念刊发论文,选题具有前瞻性,内容具有原创性,论证具有严谨性,结论具有实用性,其最大特色是:1思想和方法融为一体。本刊坚决
2016年05期 v.11 129页 [查看摘要][在线阅读][下载 109K]