<正>Social Sciences in China is a peer-reviewed quarterly academic journal published since 1980 by the Social Science in China Press on behalf of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences.It is the foremost English journal focusing on recent important developments across the breadth of social sciences and humanities in China.
2016年06期 v.11 2页 [查看摘要][在线阅读][下载 548K] - 许宪春;
This paper elaborates the changes in key aspects of China's economic structure including industrial structure, demand structure, regional structure, income distribution and foreign trade, discusses the challenges confronting China's economic structure, and proposes policy recommendations on addressing these challenges.
2016年06期 v.11 4-20页 [查看摘要][在线阅读][下载 6652K] <正>ISSN 2095-4816,CN 10-1049/C,Economic and Political Studies(EPS)is a peer-reviewed biannual journal published in both print and electronic versions by Renmin University of China.The EPS seeks to promote the research of political economy by addressing issues explicitly or implicitly related to China in the fields of broadly defined economics and political
2016年06期 v.11 21页 [查看摘要][在线阅读][下载 544K] - 陆旸;蔡昉;
Due to diminishing demographic dividend characterized by a falling workingage population and rising dependency ratio, China's long-term potential growth rates will keep declining, likely to be a mere 6.6% during the 13 th Five-Year Plan period(2016-2020). China's economic growth sustainability hinges upon its transition from the previous dependence on demographic dividend to the future reform dividend. In the growth accounting equation, we have simulated various reform initiatives and arrived at the following findings. First, although both the labor participation rate and TFP can increase China's potential growth rate, the former will only achieve a short-term growth effect, which will diminish in the long run. By contrast, the growth effect of TFP demonstrates the tendency of continuous increase. This further indicates that China's economic growth will increasingly rely on TFP improvement instead of traditional factor input. Second, different from the diminishing growth effect of enrolment rate, training may play a pivotal role in human capital development to significantly enhance potential growth rates. Third, if all reform initiatives can achieve their expected effects, integrated reform dividends may reach one or two percentage points of China's potential growth rate.
2016年06期 v.11 22-35页 [查看摘要][在线阅读][下载 6652K] - 袁富华;张平;陆明涛;
Based on international comparison, this paper arrives at the following conclusions:(1) with the progress of industrialization and rising per capita GDP, successful catch-up countries will experience an upgrade from low-level human capital to highlevel human capital;(2) the leap phenomenon exists in the deepening of high-level human capital and the universalization of tertiary education is normally completed within a relatively short period of time, which has cumulative causation with high productivity;(3) most developing countries face the critical mass of human capital upgrade, excessive lowlevel human capital and slow improvement of efficiency;(4) problems of China's human capital structure are mainly reflected in the excessive secondary human capital with poor quality and insufficient accumulation of tertiary human capital. According to the patterns of human capital deepening, the fostering of human capital in the current stage determines whether China's economic transition can succeed in the coming couple of decades. In order to mitigate the potential risks of belated transition, China must proactively seek the path of human capital upgrade.
2016年06期 v.11 36-49页 [查看摘要][在线阅读][下载 6652K] - 郝大明;
Since the reform and opening up in 1978, the improving efficiency of resource allocation, particularly the flow and migration of agricultural workforce to non-agricultural sectors, has contributed greatly to China's economic growth. However, scholars have seldom carried out continuous empirical study on the extent of such contribution mainly due to limited methods for the calculation of labor allocation effect. This paper employs the incremental analysis method of index to separate labor allocation effect from economic growth in order to conduct an analysis on such effect under the framework of economic growth. Using this approach, this paper has calculated the labor allocation effect during various periods of time in China between 1978 and 2014 and the results indicate that the flow and migration of labor constituted the major source of China's economic growth during the periods between 1978 and 1987, between 1992 and 1998 and between 2003 and 2014 and still have great potentials in the coming decade. After 2025, the labor allocation effect will diminish and is likely to become a factor that hinders economic growth.
2016年06期 v.11 50-66页 [查看摘要][在线阅读][下载 6652K] <正>Chinese Social Science Digest(CSSD),started in 2000,is a Chinese journal published by Social Sciences in China Press under the administration of Chinese Academy of Social Sciences.The journal publishes a significant number of high quality research articles excerpted from a variety of humanities and social sciences journals.Its major topics cover a wide range of academic fields.It attaches great
2016年06期 v.11 67页 [查看摘要][在线阅读][下载 649K] - 张志远;张铭洪;
This paper calculates the employment substitutability between young workforce and ageing workforce using Welch index. The result shows that the employment substitutability between these two groups of people is rather poor. Furthermore, the result of our dynamic panel regression analysis indicates that an increase in the share of ageing workforce is conducive to youth employment. Such a positive effect mainly derives from more educated ageing workforce, while the increase of less educated ageing workforce has little effect on youth employment.
2016年06期 v.11 68-79页 [查看摘要][在线阅读][下载 6652K] - 高爽;
Different arguments on the relationship between railway construction and economic development exist in literature. As the railway construction of Henan in the period of late Qing Dynasty(1644-1911) and early Republic of China(1912-1949) provides a nearly natural experiment to throw new light on this topic, this paper creates county-level panel data for this period and conducts a further test with a difference-in-difference strategy. While the effect of railway is demonstrated to be positive in some literature yet negative in others, this paper identifies some major intergroup differences: railway lines put into service after the 1910 s and connecting central cities promoted population growth in regions along the railway lines, enhanced their capacity to cope with external market shocks, yet they did not improve integration with the intra-provincial market. By contrast, the railway lines put into operation in the 1930 s and connecting hinterland areas not only improved regional market integration but contributed to higher living standards as well. The implication is that the effects of railway are subject to the economic relations of various localities along the railway lines and the economic attributes of various sectors. thus railways cannot be generally defined to be positive or negative. This conclusion helps explain the disagreements in empirical studies and highlight the impact of railways on the regional economic structure.
2016年06期 v.11 80-97页 [查看摘要][在线阅读][下载 6652K] - 徐毅;巴斯·范鲁文;
Combining the sectoral accounting method of the System of National Accounts(SNA) with new statistical materials from the United Nations, as well as historical research into various countries around the world, this paper arrives at an estimate of value added of Chinese and world industries between 1850 and 2012. In doing so, we not only modify past work by Paul Bairoch, but also arrive at significantly different conclusions about China's position in world industrialization.
2016年06期 v.11 98-109页 [查看摘要][在线阅读][下载 6652K] - 张琦;步丹璐;郁智;
Information monopoly of bureaucrats helps them maximize discretionary budget. Public disclosure of budget can alleviate information asymmetry between government and the public and empower public supervision on government budget. With information intermediary function and reputational governance function, the media exert a budget intervention effect in the public disclosure of government budget, which further increases the effect of government budget disclosure. This paper investigates how media reports influence "three public expenses"(TPE) budget planning of central government departments by examining media reports on the disclosure of budget and final accounts and using TPE budget as a proxy variable for discretionary budget of bureaucrats. We have reached the following findings:(1) The higher the TPE budget implementation rate, the greater budget growth will be. But this correlation can be restrained by media attention;(2) Different stance of the media may exert different governance effects on TPE budget. Good news about TPE may motivate bureaucrats to restrain the positive impact of TPE budget implementation on budget growth. However, bad news about TPE will exert its budget intervention effect only when administrative governance mechanism intervenes. This study has broadened research on the media's governance effect from the perspective of government budget transparency and verified that under China's unique institutional background, the media may still play a positive role in public sector governance.
2016年06期 v.11 110-122页 [查看摘要][在线阅读][下载 6652K] -
<正>MBA/EMBA项目概況山东大学创建于1901年,是即京师大学堂之后我国第二所国立大学,历史悠久、学科齐全、学术实力雄厚、办学特色鲜明,是在国内外具有重要影响的教育部直属全国重点综合性大学,是国家"211工程"和"985工程"重点建设的高水平大学之一,是我国首批获得博士、硕士学位授予权的单位,也是山东省最早具有MBA教育办学权,山东省唯一具有EMBA教育办学权、山东省唯一具有自主划线权,山东省唯一实行提前面试招生方式的高校。山东大学MBA/EMBA教育根据于山东大学这片文化底蕴深厚的沃土,立足"孔孟桑梓之乡,文明礼仪之邦"的齐鲁大地,依托
2016年06期 v.11 123页 [查看摘要][在线阅读][下载 492K] <正>《中国经济学人》创刊于2006年3月,由中国社会科学院主管,向世界介绍中国经济学和管理学的最新学术进展,发表关于中国经济的原创性学术论文和研究报告。《中国经济学人》已经加入美国经济学会EconLit,EBSCO以及ProQuest学术期刊数据库。
2016年06期 v.11 124-125页 [查看摘要][在线阅读][下载 753K] -
<正>~~
2016年06期 v.11 126页 [查看摘要][在线阅读][下载 6651K] <正>~~
2016年06期 v.11 127页 [查看摘要][在线阅读][下载 6651K] -
<正>《中国工业经济》,原名《中国工业经济学报》,1984年由著名经济学家蒋一苇创办。现为中国社会科学院主管、中国社会科学院工业经济研究所主办,是全国产业经济、企业管理领域的权威学术期刊。本刊大16开本,160页整,整个设计简洁、大气、厚重。创刊以来,《中国工业经济》本着"理论顶天,实践立地"的理念刊发论文,选题具有前瞻性,内容具有原创性,论证具有严谨性,结论具有实用性,其最大特色是:(1)思想和方法融为一体。本刊坚决
2016年06期 v.11 129页 [查看摘要][在线阅读][下载 598K] <正>The Chinese economy has been growing rapidly for more than two decades and is forcefully changing the global economic pattern.It seems that the world was ill-prepared for such dramatic changes in China.This has made it even more necessary for China to understand itself and to deepen its knowledge of the rest of the world.In turn,the world also needs to better comprehend China’s background and current situation.Thus,it has become an international trend to study China and
2016年06期 v.11 130页 [查看摘要][在线阅读][下载 258K]