- 王镭;
Our world is currently experiencing lackluster growth, poor governance and uneven development. The Belt and Road Initiative(BRI) launched by China in 2013 conforms with the trend of economic globalization, change in the global system of governance, and people's expectations for a better life. This paper offers a systematic and in-depth elucidation of the BRI, in the context of economic globalization, as providing an effective solution for global development, increasing the momentum of global economic growth, improving global governance, and addressing imbalances in global development. In this new era of high-quality development, the BRI will contribute to the creation of a community of shared future for humankind by overcoming challenges in global economic development, undergirding the foundation of global economic development, and promoting balanced global economic development for win-win results.
2020年05期 v.15 2-14页 [查看摘要][在线阅读][下载 4964K] - 龚斌磊;
Based on the agricultural panel data of 107 countries from 1962 to 2016, this paper establishes a global agricultural spatial production model, and explores pathways for mutually beneficial cooperation between China and the Belt and Road Initiative(BRI) countries in the agricultural sector. As shown in the empirical results, two-way spillover effects between China and BRI countries are all positive and significantly above world average of its kind, which builds the foundation of cooperation between both sides and reflects the BRI's vision and foresight. In the context of the BRI, there are two pathways for expediting agricultural development in China and BRI countries: First, both sides may benefit from greater spillover effects from each other's agricultural growth by promoting agricultural trade; second, China may gain from the overall spillover effects from agricultural development in BRI countries by promoting two-way trade, agri-technology aid and assistance in infrastructure projects for the common good of humanity.
2020年05期 v.15 15-29页 [查看摘要][在线阅读][下载 4964K] - 金刚;沈坤荣;
Based on the China Global Investment Tracker(CGIT) database of 2005-2018, this paper creates a country-sector-year panel set for a study on the BRI's investment effects on the transportation sector of BRI countries using the difference-in-differencesin-differences(DDD) method. Our study finds that the BRI has significantly increased transportation investments by Chinese companies in the BRI countries without causing significant rise in problem transactions. The "debt trap" narrative that the BRI aims to take control over host countries' sovereign rights in exchange for debt write-offs is not supported by evidence. Discussions on sub-samples reveal that the BRI has mainly propelled SOEs in making transportation investments to generate development effects in host countries, most of which are Asian countries, and that the preferred mode of investment is cross-border M&As.
2020年05期 v.15 30-44页 [查看摘要][在线阅读][下载 4964K] - 祝继高;王谊;汤谷良;
How are central SOEs driven by external context and internal value chain to perform their corporate social responsibility(CSR)? What is the relationship between various types of CSR? This paper divides CSR into strategic and responsive CSR, and uses case studies to discuss how central SOEs should fulfill their CSR commitments under the Belt and Road Initiative(BRI). This paper finds that under the BRI, China's central SOEs face a host of challenges in their cross-border operations with respect to the legal environment, political risks, workforce competence, and supports to industries in host countries, and extend the value chain through industrial chain integration. All the above internal and external attributes may drive central SOEs to perform their strategic and responsive CSR initiatives, and responsive CSR could also reinforce strategic CSR initiatives. Finally, this study offers advice on how Chinese companies should perform CSR under the BRI.
2020年05期 v.15 45-56页 [查看摘要][在线阅读][下载 4964K] - 雷少华;
Since the end of the Cold War, major powers have avoided direct military confrontation, wary of the devastating consequences of nuclear warfare. Yet the arms race and regional conflicts remain important forms of power competition. Nonetheless, in the era of globalization, rapid advancements in new technologies and industries have eclipsed the utility of geopolitical maneuvers and military competition. In today's world, the great power competition goes beyond the arms race and GDP aggregates. What matters more is the race to innovate and apply new technologies through a complete range of industrial sectors. In a world where technology has a controlling influence, industrial security has become the linchpin of national security. As globalization reshapes the world's industrial landscape, a country's economic influence, military might and national security depend increasingly on its industrial structure. National security is contingent upon industrial strength. In the era of globalization, industrial policy, cutting-edge technologies and market size are dominant factors influencing a country's competitive position. The essence of the great power competition are industrial policies that fully unlock a country's industrial potential and implementation of the policies.
2020年05期 v.15 57-65页 [查看摘要][在线阅读][下载 4964K] - 陈子烨;李滨;
The power and interest of industrial manufacturers are determined by their status in the relations of production. At the international level, countries see their economic and political status rise only when they climb the ladder in the international division of labor. As the primary production forces, science and technology are the main drivers behind such change. As new technologies give rise to new industries and restructure the international division of labor, developed countries strive to enhance the protection of their intellectual property rights(IPR) and safeguard their monopoly over core technologies. For developed countries, technological prowess holds the key to their supremacy in the global supply chain and international relations. The 19 th CPC National Congress makes clear the overarching goal in the new era is to rejuvenate the Chinese nation and turn China into a strong modern country. As an important material condition for achieving this goal, China must transition from being medium-and low-end links in the international division of labor to becoming high-end links. In this process, China will encounter backlash from developed countries that lead in the international division of labor. The recent China-US tussle over trade in high-tech goods is a case in point, and should be viewed through the lens of the relations of production and the international division of labor. The insights thus achieved will be of great significance to China's future development.
2020年05期 v.15 66-73页 [查看摘要][在线阅读][下载 4964K] - 姚东旻;许艺煊;张鹏远;
Academics have yet to agree on the effectiveness of the precautionary saving theory in explaining Chinese households' saving behavior. With the Wenchuan megaearthquake of 2008 as an uncertain event to overcome the endogeneity problem of income volatility, this paper puts forward a brand-new hypothesis that "an earthquake influences household saving rate through its effects on expected income and the variance of expected income." Then, we employ propensity score matching-difference-in-differences(PSMDID) method, the systematic GMM methods, the synthetic control method, together with instrumental variable method, for an analysis of Chinese Household Income Project(CHIP) and inter-provincial data at the micro and macro levels, respectively. We find that the Wenchuan mega-earthquake was followed by an increase in the variance of household expected income in Sichuan and a significant rise in the household saving rate. Second, social protection is negatively correlated with expected income, and has a significant substitutive relationship with saving rate. This finding indirectly proves that the earthquake's impact on the household saving rate is subject to the variance of expected income, shedding light on how the precautionary saving motivation works in the real world.
2020年05期 v.15 74-88页 [查看摘要][在线阅读][下载 4964K] <正>Social Sciences in China is a peer-reviewed Quarterly academic journal published since 1980 by the Social Science in China Press on behalf of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences.It is the foremost English journal focusing on recent important developments across the breadth of social sciences and humanities in China.
2020年05期 v.15 89页 [查看摘要][在线阅读][下载 279K] - 章元;王驹飞;
Economics literature has long overlooked an important economic phenomenon: Residents in large cities tend to save a smaller percentage of their disposable income than their peers in small and medium-sized cities. As an explanation for this phenomenon, this paper puts forth the hypothesis that: Residents in large cities purchase more services to increase their leisure time, which is reduced by longer commuting time than in small and medium-sized cities, thus lowering their household savings rate. We conducted an empirical study using panel data of China's prefecture-level cities and urban household survey data, and employed an instrumental variable to address the endogeneity problem. The result confirmed the accuracy of the above hypothesis. In identifying the economic phenomenon and putting forth the hypothesis, this paper(i) creates a theoretical link between city size and household savings rate, which helps unravel the determinants of the urban household savings rate;(2) provides important implications for China's policy-making on domestic consumption, urban populations, and industrial development. Priority should be given to developing large and medium-sized cities given the positive effects on domestic consumption and service sector development, and migrant labor shall not be barred from entering large and medium-sized cities to provide services to local residents.
2020年05期 v.15 90-107页 [查看摘要][在线阅读][下载 4964K] - 郭凯明;王藤桥;
The rapid growth of infrastructure investment is a salient feature of China's economy since the reform and opening-up in 1978, contributing to not only the aggregate demand but also the structural change and productivity growth on the supply-side. This paper builds a multi-sector general equilibrium model to show how infrastructure investment influences structural change through price, investment and income effects, and influences productivity growth through the intensive and extensive marginal effects. By quantifying the model with China's economy for the period 1981-2017, the paper finds that the infrastructure investment restrained the rise of services, but boosted productivity growth over the period. The policy implication is that China should ramp up infrastructure investment to increase productivity as it pursues high-quality development, but give priority to new infrastructure and public-interest infrastructure to promote industrial structural upgrade.
2020年05期 v.15 108-123页 [查看摘要][在线阅读][下载 4964K] -
<正>《中国经济学人》创刊于2006年3月,由中国社会科学院经济学部业务主管,工业经济研究所主办,经济管理出版社制作发行,代表中国人文社会科学英文刊最高水平,致力于向世界介绍中国经济学和管理学的最新学术进展。于2010年加入美国经济学会Econ Lit全文索引系统,并已加入EBSCO、Pro Quest等全球顶级学术数据库。
2020年05期 v.15 124-125页 [查看摘要][在线阅读][下载 365K] <正>《中国工业经济》,原名《中国工业经济学报》,1984年由著名经济学家蒋一苇创办。现为中国社会科学院主管、中国社会科学院工业经济研究所主办,是全国产业经济、企业管理领域的权威学术期刊。本刊大16开本,160页整,整个设计简洁、大气、厚适。创刊以来,《中国工业经济》本着"理论顶天,实践立地"的理念刊发论文,选题具有前瞻性,内容具有原创性,论证具有严谨性,结论具有实用性,其最大特色是:①思想和方法融为一休。本刊坚决抵制"过程非常复杂结论非常简单"、"把简单问题复杂化"的不良文风,坚持"思想为主,工具为辅"的学术风范,在本领域重大理论创新上引领学术发展方向。②理论和应用融为一体。本刊突出问题导向i围绕前沿问题、重点问题、难点问题、热点问题引导理论研究,为党和国家高层部门在重大决策时提供理论支撑和政策建议。③国际化和本土化融为一体。本刊立足中国本土问题,对接国际研究范式,实现术道打通、古今打通、中外打通;强调选题要新、视角要新、方法要新、架构要新、语言要新、观点要新,
2020年05期 v.15 129页 [查看摘要][在线阅读][下载 1656K] - Li Yang;Jin Bei;
The Chinese economy has been growing rapidly for more than two decades and is forcefully changing the global economic pattern.It seems that the world was ill-prepared for such dramatic changes in China. This has made it even more necessary for China to understand
2020年05期 v.15 130页 [查看摘要][在线阅读][下载 296K] 下载本期数据